tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 00:50 PHX → 06:25 ORD
    AA 1148 · American · 3h 35m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 ORD → 12:59 JFK
    AA 4590 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 30m · 70% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 09mPHX 00:50 to JFK 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.