tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 00:50 PHX → 06:25 ORD
    AA 1148 · American · 3h 35m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 12:41 JAX
    AA 4740 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 51mPHX 00:50 to JAX 12:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.