tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:37 DFW → 17:09 PHX
    AA 1155 · American · 2h 32m · 66% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 PHX → 19:15 LAS
    AA 1022 · American · 1h 11m · 44% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 38mDFW 16:37 to LAS 19:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.