tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:37 DFW → 17:09 PHX
    AA 1155 · American · 2h 32m · 66% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 PHX → 21:05 SEA
    AA 4307 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 10m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 28mDFW 16:37 to SEA 21:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.