tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:58 DCA → 21:29 DFW
    AA 1158 · American · 3h 26m · 61% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DFW → 23:47 TUL
    AA 531 · American · 1h 09m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 49mDCA 18:58 to TUL 23:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.