tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 20%

  1. 14:25 DFW → 18:24 MIA
    AA 1167 · American · 2h 59m · 46% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:11 MIA → 21:54 DCA
    AA 2648 · American · 2h 43m · 63% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 29mDFW 14:25 to DCA 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.