Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:50 JFK → 22:22 MIA
    AA 1174 · American · 3h 32m · 74% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:13 MIA → 00:19 TPA +1 day
    AA 1714 · American · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 29mJFK 18:50 to TPA 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.