Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Valparaiso via Miami: arrives on time 55%
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18:50 JFK → 22:22 MIAAA 1174 · American · 3h 32m · 74% on time, 3.3% cancelled
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48m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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23:10 MIA → 23:59 VPSAA 4300 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 49m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 09mJFK 18:50 to VPS 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.