tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Valparaiso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:47 DCA → 16:14 DFW
    AA 1177 · American · 3h 27m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 41m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 DFW → 22:55 VPS
    AA 1201 · American · 1h 58m · 58% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 236 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 41m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip10h 06mDCA 13:47 to VPS 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.