tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Manchester via Charlotte: arrives on time 64%

  1. 10:30 PHL → 12:23 CLT
    AA 1180 · American · 1h 53m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:41 CLT → 17:02 MHT
    AA 5288 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 20m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 31mPHL 10:30 to MHT 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.