tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Jacksonville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 86%

  1. 22:02 PHX → 05:35 PHL
    AA 1188 · American · 4h 33m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 PHL → 10:57 JAX +1 day
    AA 2916 · American · 2h 25m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 53mPHX 22:02 to JAX 10:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.