tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Atlanta via Philadelphia: arrives on time 90%

  1. 22:02 PHX → 05:35 PHL
    AA 1188 · American · 4h 33m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:32 PHL → 11:53 ATL +1 day
    AA 4338 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 51mPHX 22:02 to ATL 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.