tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Washington via Phoenix: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:11 ONT → 07:30 PHX
    AA 1194 · American · 1h 19m · 92% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 PHX → 15:59 DCA
    AA 3191 · American · 4h 29m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 48mONT 06:11 to DCA 15:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.