tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:00 BUF → 07:03 ORD
    AA 1195 · American · 2h 03m · 88% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 ORD → 11:19 LGA
    AA 2079 · American · 2h 19m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 19mBUF 06:00 to LGA 11:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.