tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:00 BUF → 07:03 ORD
    AA 1195 · American · 2h 03m · 88% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 ORD → 13:30 EWR
    AA 2250 · American · 2h 20m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 30mBUF 06:00 to EWR 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.