tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 BUF → 07:03 ORD
    AA 1195 · American · 2h 03m · 88% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:29 ORD → 11:41 PHL
    AA 471 · American · 2h 12m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 41mBUF 06:00 to PHL 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.