tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:31 EWR → 08:45 MIA
    AA 1196 · American · 3h 10m · 95% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:58 MIA → 12:37 DCA
    AA 2915 · American · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 05mEWR 05:31 to DCA 12:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.