tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Tucson via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 60%

  1. 05:29 SFO → 11:15 DFW
    AA 1198 · American · 3h 46m · 93% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:11 DFW → 12:26 TUS
    AA 2926 · American · 2h 15m · 68% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 57mSFO 05:29 to TUS 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.