tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:29 SFO → 11:15 DFW
    AA 1198 · American · 3h 46m · 93% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:22 DFW → 15:44 HOU
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 16mSFO 05:29 to HOU 15:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.