tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Dulles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 15:30 MIA → 17:50 DFW
    AA 1199 · American · 3h 20m · 57% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:44 DFW → 22:46 IAD
    AA 1132 · American · 3h 08m · 47% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip7h 22mMIA 15:30 to IAD 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.