tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Ontario via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:30 MIA → 17:50 DFW
    AA 1199 · American · 3h 20m · 57% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 DFW → 19:59 ONT
    AA 2236 · American · 3h 09m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 29mMIA 15:30 to ONT 19:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.