tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Richmond via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:30 MIA → 17:50 DFW
    AA 1199 · American · 3h 20m · 57% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 DFW → 22:57 RIC
    AA 3037 · American · 3h 02m · 59% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 27mMIA 15:30 to RIC 22:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.