tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Albany via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:59 DCA → 15:24 ORD
    AA 1200 · American · 2h 25m · 75% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 ORD → 19:26 ALB
    AA 6433 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 17m · 67% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 28mDCA 13:59 to ALB 19:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.