tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:01 BUF → 08:01 CLT
    AA 1204 · American · 2h 00m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:27 CLT → 11:29 JFK
    AA 374 · American · 2h 02m · 75% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 28mBUF 06:01 to JFK 11:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.