tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Boston via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 14:03 PHX → 21:18 CLT
    AA 1211 · American · 4h 15m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:26 CLT → 00:37 BOS +1 day
    AA 1843 · American · 2h 11m · 71% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 34mPHX 14:03 to BOS 00:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.