tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Raleigh/Durham via Charlotte: arrives on time 61%

  1. 14:03 PHX → 21:18 CLT
    AA 1211 · American · 4h 15m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:57 CLT → 23:58 RDU
    AA 494 · American · 1h 01m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 55mPHX 14:03 to RDU 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.