tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Oklahoma City via Charlotte: arrives on time 46%

  1. 14:03 PHX → 21:18 CLT
    AA 1211 · American · 4h 15m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 CLT → 00:22 OKC +1 day
    AA 768 · American · 2h 44m · 69% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 06mPHX 14:03 to OKC 00:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.