tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Los Angeles via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:33 IAD → 08:00 CLT
    AA 1216 · American · 1h 27m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:57 CLT → 10:56 LAX
    AA 1995 · American · 4h 59m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 23mIAD 06:33 to LAX 10:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.