tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Dayton via Charlotte: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:33 IAD → 08:00 CLT
    AA 1216 · American · 1h 27m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 CLT → 13:31 DAY
    AA 5490 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 42m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 56mIAD 06:33 to DAY 13:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.