tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Key West via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 57%

  1. 09:00 MIA → 11:12 DFW
    AA 1227 · American · 3h 12m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 DFW → 16:54 EYW
    AA 1814 · American · 2h 52m · 60% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 54mMIA 09:00 to EYW 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.