tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 76%

  1. 09:00 MIA → 11:12 DFW
    AA 1227 · American · 3h 12m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:17 DFW → 17:32 SDF
    AA 4152 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 30mMIA 09:00 to SDF 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.