tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Rochester via Philadelphia: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:28 MCO → 10:05 PHL
    AA 1228 · American · 2h 37m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:17 PHL → 14:48 ROC
    AA 5907 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 28m · 81% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 17mMCO 07:28 to ROC 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.