tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:11 IAD → 08:41 LAX
    AA 1242 · American · 5h 30m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 LAX → 11:28 PHX
    AA 1668 · American · 1h 28m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip8h 17mIAD 06:11 to PHX 11:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.