tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → San Antonio via Los Angeles: arrives on time 45%

  1. 06:11 IAD → 08:41 LAX
    AA 1242 · American · 5h 30m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:28 LAX → 14:36 SAT
    AA 6307 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 08m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip9h 25mIAD 06:11 to SAT 14:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.