tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 08:56 MIA
    AA 1252 · American · 2h 56m · 89% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:58 MIA → 12:37 DCA
    AA 2915 · American · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 36mPHL 06:00 to DCA 12:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.