Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Diego → Austin via Chicago: arrives on time 47%
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07:30 SAN → 13:59 ORDAA 1261 · American · 4h 29m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:46 ORD → 17:30 AUSAA 1568 · American · 2h 44m · 68% on time, 1.5% cancelled
Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 00mSAN 07:30 to AUS 17:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.