tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Raleigh/Durham via Charlotte: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:20 PHX → 13:35 CLT
    AA 1274 · American · 4h 15m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:26 CLT → 15:25 RDU
    AA 2402 · American · 59m · 62% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 05mPHX 06:20 to RDU 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.