tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 59%

  1. 06:20 PHX → 13:35 CLT
    AA 1274 · American · 4h 15m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:17 CLT → 17:53 XNA
    AA 5443 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 34m · 60% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip9h 31mPHX 06:20 to XNA 17:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.