tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Ontario via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:15 EWR → 09:28 PHX
    AA 1282 · American · 5h 13m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHX → 12:02 ONT
    AA 2244 · American · 1h 17m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 47mEWR 07:15 to ONT 12:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.