tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:15 EWR → 09:28 PHX
    AA 1282 · American · 5h 13m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:31 PHX → 15:10 DFW
    AA 3284 · American · 2h 39m · 88% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 55mEWR 07:15 to DFW 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.