tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Kalispell via Chicago: arrives on time 44%

  1. 09:35 DFW → 12:14 ORD
    AA 1290 · American · 2h 39m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:16 ORD → 16:02 FCA
    AA 1844 · American · 3h 46m · 67% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kalispell is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 27mDFW 09:35 to FCA 16:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.