tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 09:35 DFW → 12:14 ORD
    AA 1290 · American · 2h 39m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 ORD → 16:30 EWR
    AA 1936 · American · 2h 20m · 65% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 55mDFW 09:35 to EWR 16:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.