tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Rapid City via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 09:35 DFW → 12:14 ORD
    AA 1290 · American · 2h 39m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 ORD → 14:55 RAP
    AA 3767 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 20mDFW 09:35 to RAP 14:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.