tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Antonio via Charlotte: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:30 JFK → 17:44 CLT
    AA 1294 · American · 2h 14m · 59% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:34 CLT → 20:40 SAT
    AA 1258 · American · 3h 06m · 72% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 10mJFK 15:30 to SAT 20:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.