tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Denver via Charlotte: arrives on time 19%

  1. 15:30 JFK → 17:44 CLT
    AA 1294 · American · 2h 14m · 59% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 CLT → 20:17 DEN
    AA 1736 · American · 3h 45m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 47mJFK 15:30 to DEN 20:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.