tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:30 JFK → 17:44 CLT
    AA 1294 · American · 2h 14m · 59% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 CLT → 21:00 MCO
    AA 1783 · American · 1h 55m · 46% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 30mJFK 15:30 to MCO 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.