tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Salt Lake City via Charlotte: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:30 JFK → 17:44 CLT
    AA 1294 · American · 2h 14m · 59% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:44 CLT → 21:16 SLC
    AA 2611 · American · 4h 28m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 42mJFK 15:30 to SLC 21:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.