tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Richmond via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:30 JFK → 17:44 CLT
    AA 1294 · American · 2h 14m · 59% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 CLT → 22:53 RIC
    AA 993 · American · 1h 14m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 24mJFK 15:30 to RIC 22:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.