tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:00 EWR → 10:51 DFW
    AA 1303 · American · 3h 51m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:07 DFW → 15:22 SDF
    AA 3758 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 15m · 88% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 22mEWR 08:00 to SDF 15:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.