tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:14 STL → 09:34 PHL
    AA 1308 · American · 2h 20m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 PHL → 12:09 ORD
    AA 1041 · American · 2h 34m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 55mSTL 06:14 to ORD 12:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.